FedExCup notes: EDS Byron Nelson Championship

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Apr. 23, 2008

Tiger Woods' first-place standing is safe this week, but three players -- Justin Leonard, Sean O'Hair and Ryuji Imada -- could take over second with a victory. Trevor Immelman, who moved into the top 15 with his Masters victory, has an opportunity to move into the top three with another win. Luke Donald, Bart Bryant, Anthony Kim and Steve Elkington, who have been quietly playing very well (see further below) could also turn up the volume on their seasons with a win. The players in the field who could move into the top five in the FedExCup Points Standings are listed below.

Player FedExCup rank Points through week 16 Points with win Possible rank
Justin Leonard 8 6,891 11,391 2
Sean O'Hair 10 6,476 10,976 2
Ryuji Imada 13 5,581 10,081 2
Trevor Immelman 14 5,432 9,932 3
Daniel Chopra 16 5,224 9,724 3
Rory Sabbatini 18 4,891 9,391 3
Johnson Wagner 20 4,815 9,315 3
Luke Donald 21 4,696 9,196 3
Chad Campbell 25 4,475 8,975 3
Bart Bryant 27 4,372 8,872 3
Jeff Quinney 29 4,078 8,578 3
Anthony Kim 31 3,915 8,415 3
Steve Marino 32 3,745 8,245 4
Steve Elkington 34 3,469 7,969 5
Cliff Kresge 35 3,387 7,887 5

Several players who did well in 2007 are doing even better this year, including two who have already earned more points this year than last. Of the players who finished among the top 70 seeds for the 2007 PGA TOUR Playoffs for the FedExCup, the players below are the ones who have had an even better season so far this year by at least 1,000 points. O'Hair and Imada have more points already in 2008 than at the end of the 2007 Regular Season.

Player FedExCup rank Points through week 16 '07 Seed '07 Points '07 Points through Verizon Difference at Verizon
Sean O'Hair 10 6,476 70 4,580 1,756 4,720
Ryuji Imada 13 5,581 55 5,005 1,255 4,326
Rory Sabbatini 18 4,891 6 13,548 3,741 1,150
Anthony Kim 31 3,915 42 6,013 2,242 1,673
Steve Marino 32 3,745 63 4,790 1,280 2,465
Nathan Green 41 3,067 54 5,115 1,189 1,878
Billy Mayfair 44 2,878 40 6,109 1,331 1,547
Troy Matteson 46 2,849 56 4,986 1,510 1,339
Hunter Mahan 54 2,645 15 10,185 1,562 1,083
Kenny Perry 56 2,627 58 4,926 623 2,004

A number of players in the top 30 in the 2008 FedExCup Points Standings are heavily dependent on their victory to have gotten them there. Those players will need either to win again in the 2008 Regular Season or more consistently earn high finishes to remain in the top 30. The easiest way to spot players who are highly "win-dependent" is to examine their points per start compared to their points per start excluding their victories. Below is a chart of the players in the EDS Byron Nelson field who are in the top 30 in the FedExCup points standings that lists points per start, points per start excluding victories and their points per start in last year's regular season for comparison.

Player FedExCup rank Points through week 16 Points per start Points per start minus wins '07 Seed '07 Points '07 Points Per Start
Justin Leonard 8 6,891 626 626 85 3,885 177
Sean O'Hair 10 6,476 648 220 70 4,580 218
Ryuji Imada 13 5,581 620 620 55 5,005 209
Trevor Immelman 14 5,432 604 60 37 6,309 351
Daniel Chopra 16 5,224 402 60 114 2,819 108
Rory Sabbatini 18 4,891 611 611 6 13,548 713
Johnson Wagner 20 4,815 438 32 127 2,317 89
Luke Donald 21 4,696 783 783 23 8,676 510
Chad Campbell 25 4,475 407 407 106 3,036 138
Bart Bryant 27 4,372 486 486 78 4,271 237
Jeff Quinney 29 4,078 371 371 41 6,053 288

A few players who are playing well might be "flying under the radar." Looking at players whose ranking for "Points per non-winning start" is 10 or more places above their FedExCup standing, several players stand out who are having good years but haven't won. Luke Donald only has five starts, but they include a second and a third. Bart Bryant has a second at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and three other solid top-25 finishes. Anthony Kim has missed three cuts in nine events but also has a tie for second and a tie for third. Steve Elkington has two top-five finishes and three other top-15 finishes this year, and Kevin Sutherland has a tie for fourth, a tie for eighth and three other top 25s. Adam Scott's points-per-start rank is also well above his FedExCup rank, but he has only finished four events in 2008 (he withdrew from the Shell Houston Open) and has a lone top-10 finish at the world Golf Championships -- Accenture Match Play Championship.

Player FedExCup rank Points through week 16 Points per start minus wins Points per start minus wins rank
Justin Leonard 8 6,891 626 9
Ryuji Imada 13 5,581 620 10
Rory Sabbatini 18 4,891 611 11
Luke Donald 21 4,696 783 4
Chad Campbell 25 4,475 407 19
Bart Bryant 27 4,372 486 14
Jeff Quinney 29 4,078 371 22
Anthony Kim 31 3,915 489 13
Steve Marino 32 3,745 340 25
Steve Elkington 34 3,469 386 20
Cliff Kresge 35 3,387 339 26
John Senden 36 3,334 303 31
Jerry Kelly 37 3,329 303 32
Kevin Sutherland 43 2,942 327 28
Adam Scott 92 1,586 317 29
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